Hillary Clinton has been unable to beat Bernie Sanders and take the Democratic nomination. This raises questions about Hillary’s strength as a candidate in the fall election.
The RealClearPolitics average from April 20th to May 19th has Clinton at 51.4% support for the Democratic nomination, as opposed to Sanders’ 43.4%. These are very close numbers for Clinton to have, especially considering her years in the political spotlight. That she is fighting such a close battle with Sanders, a socialist senator from Vermont, shows that she is a much weaker candidate than many in the media would have us believe.
Her predicament with Sanders becomes even more stark when you remove her superdelegate support.
To win the nomination, Clinton needs 2383 delegates. She presently has 2,293 delegates, compared to Sanders’ 1,536. But when you remove superdelegates from the picture, she leads Sanders 1,768 to 1,497, a mere 271 delegates.
The superdelegates, most of them past and present Democratic politicians, give the Democratic machine a good deal of sway over an election. Their early support of Clinton gave her an added sense of inevitability over Bernie Sanders, plus an appearance of official, mainstream support as opposed to Sanders’ grassroots campaign.
But their support has come at a cost. Sanders has been able to make the point that the system is rigged against him, and that the will of Democratic voters is being thwarted by machine politicians. It’s hard not to agree with him, since he has won numerous primaries, some by double digits.
But despite superdelegates, and at least 31 million dollars from outside groups, Clinton still hasn’t knocked Sanders out of the race.
The fact is Clinton represents an older version of the Democratic party that isn’t running the show anymore, vote wise. The Democratic party has moved into much more radical, socialistic waters, and Sanders’ message of wealth redistribution, much like Obama’s is more appealing to many Democrats.
Additionally, the increased anti-American radicalism of the Democratic party is chasing many normal Democrats into the GOP, notably to Donald Trump’s campaign. This means that Clinton’s support is eroding on both sides: she is losing radicals to the Sanders-Obama wing of the party, and working-class Democrats to the GOP. This makes it much harder for her to secure the nomination.
So what is she to do? Probably all she can do is pour as much many, and as many superdelegates into her campaign as possible, and wring one last nomination out of the Democratic party. After this election, it will probably be Obama-style socialism to the hilt, and a Democrat like Clinton can’t swim in that kind of ocean.